Connah's Quay vs Dinamo Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
BAL
58%
23%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
CON
0 - 2
SAR
36%
25%
38%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
BAL
2 - 2
CON
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CON
1 - 2
CAR
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
TNS
32%
23%
45%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
DBA
1 - 3
DTB
33%
27%
41%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
DTB
0 - 2
TIR
59%
21%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
TEL
0 - 0
DTB
13%
22%
65%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 2
DTB
15%
22%
63%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
DTB
1 - 0
CHI
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |