Confiança vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
51.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
SER
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
SER
0 - 0
CON
17%
22%
61%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
CON
16%
22%
62%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
CON
8 - 0
AFP
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 4
CON
15%
22%
63%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
AMF
3 - 1
CRZ
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CRZ
1 - 2
AMF
46%
29%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CRZ
4 - 0
PAT
78%
16%
6%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
POA
1 - 0
CRZ
14%
23%
62%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
ARN
0 - 1
CRZ
12%
22%
66%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |