Concórdia vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
78.3%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
BRU
1 - 1
CAC
64%
19%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 0
CAC
28%
22%
49%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAC
4 - 1
TUB
33%
25%
43%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAC
0 - 2
FFL
9%
16%
75%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
JEC
2 - 1
CAC
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
AVA
2 - 1
JUV
78%
16%
6%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 2
AVA
14%
20%
67%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
AVA
2 - 1
JEC
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
FER
2 - 0
AVA
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
AVA
0 - 1
CRI
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |