Como vs Giana Erminio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
PER
1 - 2
COM
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
COM
1 - 0
ASL
70%
20%
10%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LEC
4 - 0
COM
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
COM
3 - 0
JS2
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
PIS
1 - 0
COM
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Giana Erminio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
USA
0 - 0
GER
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
GER
0 - 1
ABN
33%
27%
41%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
GER
2 - 2
NOV
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
JS2
3 - 2
GER
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
GER
1 - 1
LEC
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |