Comercial vs EC São Bernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
LIN
0 - 1
COM
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
COM
3 - 2
INT
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
COM
41%
28%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 1
COM
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
COM
1 - 0
JUV
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
BER
0 - 0
XVD
23%
25%
53%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
TAU
0 - 2
BER
56%
25%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
BER
0 - 1
FER
19%
24%
56%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
ATI
1 - 2
BER
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BER
1 - 0
ATI
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |