Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
42.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
9º
12º
12º
28
6º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 38% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 62% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
COL
0 - 1
TNS
15%
22%
63%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
COL
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
COL
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
COL
0 - 4
CAE
36%
24%
40%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
COL
5 - 0
AIR
74%
15%
11%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 2
HAV
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HAV
1 - 1
CAE
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 0
HAV
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
HAV
0 - 0
PON
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
HAV
0 - 4
CAR
70%
17%
14%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |