CD Colonia Moscardó vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Colonia Moscardó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
SBA
0 - 0
COL
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
COL
1 - 0
PUL
38%
25%
37%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
ARA
0 - 0
COL
32%
26%
42%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
COL
2 - 0
TAL
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
ALC
0 - 4
COL
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
AVI
0 - 0
PUL
20%
28%
52%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
ARA
6 - 0
AVI
54%
23%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
AVI
0 - 1
TAL
28%
26%
47%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
ALC
5 - 1
AVI
66%
19%
16%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
AVI
0 - 0
SEG
44%
25%
31%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |