Coleraine vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 0
COL
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
COL
3 - 2
WAR
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
COL
1 - 2
BAL
58%
22%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 0
COL
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
CLI
1 - 3
COL
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ARD
4 - 1
BAL
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 0
ARD
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GLE
4 - 1
ARD
67%
19%
15%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
ARD
1 - 3
LIN
16%
22%
61%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
GLE
5 - 0
ARD
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |