Colchester United vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 0
COL
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
COL
1 - 3
MKD
37%
26%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
DAG
1 - 0
COL
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
COL
0 - 2
SOU
24%
25%
51%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
BRO
0 - 1
COL
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
OLD
0 - 1
BHA
27%
28%
44%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LEY
1 - 0
OLD
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
OLD
2 - 3
SHW
38%
26%
35%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BOU
3 - 0
OLD
63%
22%
14%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
OLD
0 - 5
POS
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |