Copa Libertadores . Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Cobreloa vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2003 |
COB
1 - 0
PAL
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
UCO
3 - 1
COB
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
COB
0 - 0
PUM
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
COB
2 - 1
UNI
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2003 |
ACS
3 - 2
COB
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2003 |
PAY
2 - 4
BOC
43%
26%
32%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
BOC
2 - 0
COL
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
VEL
2 - 0
BOC
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2003 |
BOC
0 - 1
PAY
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
BOC
2 - 0
NOB
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |