Atletico Peñarol vs Olimpia Oriental analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
17.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CEN
3 - 1
CAP
60%
21%
20%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CAP
0 - 0
VSA
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CAH
2 - 2
CAP
22%
20%
58%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAP
3 - 2
MIT
62%
20%
19%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
AOO
0 - 1
CAP
33%
22%
45%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Olimpia Oriental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
VSA
3 - 3
AOO
70%
16%
14%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
MIT
0 - 3
AOO
51%
22%
27%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
AOO
2 - 5
CEN
25%
23%
52%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAH
4 - 5
AOO
42%
22%
37%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
AOO
0 - 1
CAP
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |