Cerro CA vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
BOS
2 - 2
CER
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CER
1 - 0
RAC
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MWA
0 - 1
CER
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CER
0 - 1
FEN
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
CEL
2 - 0
CER
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
DAN
0 - 1
PLA
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
DAN
1 - 2
CEL
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
DAN
0 - 1
RIV
47%
25%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
DEF
3 - 1
DAN
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
DAN
1 - 2
BOS
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |