Ciudad de Murcia vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
ALB
2 - 2
CIU
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
CIU
5 - 1
ALA
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
HER
1 - 1
CIU
41%
29%
31%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
CIU
1 - 1
CAS
57%
25%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
CAD
1 - 2
CIU
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2007 |
NUM
3 - 0
UDL
58%
25%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
SPO
1 - 0
NUM
42%
27%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
NUM
0 - 0
SLA
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
NUM
1 - 1
ALB
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
ALA
2 - 2
NUM
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |