Cieza vs Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
YEC
0 - 1
CIE
35%
26%
40%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CIE
3 - 1
CDB
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
CIE
65%
20%
16%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CIE
2 - 1
MSM
50%
23%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
MUL
0 - 1
CIE
54%
23%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
PLU
0 - 1
VIL
28%
24%
48%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
MSM
2 - 3
PLU
49%
23%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
PLU
0 - 1
MUL
42%
25%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ABA
2 - 1
PLU
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
PLU
1 - 2
CHU
37%
25%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |