Cianorte vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
CIA
0 - 1
GEM
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
CIA
1 - 0
TCW
73%
19%
8%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
LON
3 - 3
CIA
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
CIA
2 - 0
CCR
69%
21%
11%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
CIA
1 - 0
PAR
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOT
53%
24%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
4 - 1
VCR
84%
12%
4%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ALT
2 - 0
SAN
21%
24%
55%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
SPO
34%
25%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
YAP
0 - 4
SAN
8%
20%
72%
|
59 | 27 | 32 | 0 |