CD Churriana vs CD Nerja Fundación analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+553%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Churriana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
UDT
0 - 1
CHU
30%
25%
45%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CHU
1 - 0
CDT
45%
24%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CDU
0 - 1
CHU
68%
18%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CHU
3 - 0
PED
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 0
CHU
51%
22%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
CD Nerja Fundación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NER
1 - 0
MIJ
7%
16%
78%
|
5 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
UDT
5 - 1
NER
69%
19%
13%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NER
0 - 0
CAR
13%
20%
68%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
CDT
3 - 1
NER
86%
10%
4%
|
6 | 19 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
NER
1 - 1
ATH
29%
22%
49%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | +1 |