Chorley vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
TAM
2 - 1
CHO
41%
25%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 0
STA
58%
23%
20%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
UNM
2 - 0
CHO
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHO
28%
24%
49%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 0
CUR
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GAI
3 - 3
GLO
40%
26%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
GAI
1 - 1
ALF
30%
25%
46%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
STA
0 - 0
GAI
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LOW
1 - 0
GAI
45%
24%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
GAI
1 - 0
NUN
26%
25%
50%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |