Chorley vs Curzon Ashton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
58.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
SKE
5 - 0
CHO
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
CHO
2 - 2
OSS
27%
25%
48%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
CHO
0 - 2
BRA
27%
25%
48%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
CLI
5 - 1
CHO
58%
22%
20%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
WAK
0 - 0
CHO
57%
23%
20%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
CUR
2 - 0
ROU
66%
20%
15%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2007 |
CUR
0 - 1
BRA
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
LAN
1 - 2
CUR
22%
24%
55%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
CUR
6 - 1
WOS
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
BRI
3 - 3
CUR
17%
22%
60%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |