Choco vs CD Lugo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
OUR
2 - 0
CHO
30%
25%
45%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 1
SOM
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
RIB
2 - 1
CHO
32%
25%
44%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CHO
5 - 2
RCV
32%
26%
43%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 0
CHO
26%
25%
49%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
CD Lugo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
POL
1 - 2
BOI
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
POL
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
POL
1 - 0
POR
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
UDO
1 - 0
POL
53%
22%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
RCF
4 - 0
POL
85%
11%
4%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |