UEFA Intertoto Cup . Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Chmel Blšany vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chmel Blšany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
POB
0 - 1
CHM
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2001 |
CHM
0 - 0
POB
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2001 |
CHM
3 - 1
TEP
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2001 |
SLP
2 - 3
CHM
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
CHM
2 - 2
SPA
30%
23%
47%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
TAT
1 - 1
BRE
30%
24%
46%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2001 |
BRE
2 - 1
TAT
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
BRE
3 - 1
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
ACM
1 - 1
BRE
72%
17%
12%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
BRE
2 - 1
VIC
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |