Chinchilla vs Aguas Nuevas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-105%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chinchilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
INB
5 - 1
CHI
35%
23%
43%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 6
HEL
11%
16%
73%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
ALM
2 - 0
CHI
29%
22%
48%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 1
ELB
63%
19%
18%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
5 - 0
CHI
69%
18%
13%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aguas Nuevas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
ALM
4 - 0
ANU
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ANU
0 - 3
ELB
49%
23%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
ANU
76%
15%
9%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ANU
2 - 2
MAH
19%
21%
61%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
INI
2 - 2
ANU
65%
18%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |