WC Qual. Asia KNOCK-OUT STAGE 1 Round 1

China vs Iran analysis

China Iran
80 ELO 85
3% Tilt -6.9%
782º General ELO ranking 82º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
41.3%
China
27%
Draw
31.7%
Iran

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
China
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.7%
Win probability
Iran
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
China
-14%
+1%
Iran

ELO progression

China
Iran
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

China
China
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 1997
CHN
China
3 - 0
Kazakhstan
KAZ
71%
17%
12%
80 75 5 0
30 Aug. 1997
KOR
South Korea
0 - 0
China
CHN
64%
22%
14%
80 87 7 0
22 Jun. 1997
CHN
China
4 - 0
Vietnam
VIE
90%
9%
2%
80 52 28 0
08 Jun. 1997
CHN
China
0 - 0
Tajikistan
TJK
91%
8%
2%
80 49 31 0
01 Jun. 1997
CHN
China
1 - 0
Turkmenistan
TKM
83%
12%
5%
80 62 18 0

Matches

Iran
Iran
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 1997
UAE
UAE
3 - 1
Iran
IRN
35%
28%
37%
85 78 7 0
17 Aug. 1997
CAN
Canada
0 - 1
Iran
IRN
37%
28%
35%
85 80 5 0
15 Jun. 1997
IRN
Iran
2 - 2
Syria
SYR
84%
11%
5%
85 69 16 0
11 Jun. 1997
IRN
Iran
9 - 0
Maldives
MDV
90%
9%
1%
85 37 48 0
09 Jun. 1997
IRN
Iran
3 - 1
Kyrgyzstan
KGZ
89%
10%
1%
85 41 44 0