Asian Cup Grupo C. Jor. 1

China vs Kyrgyzstan analysis

China Kyrgyzstan
81 ELO 54
-2.7% Tilt -5.8%
441º General ELO ranking 2862º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
77.3%
China
15.6%
Draw
7.1%
Kyrgyzstan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
China
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.1%
Win probability
Kyrgyzstan
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
China
-14%
-5%
Kyrgyzstan

ELO progression

China
Kyrgyzstan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

China
China
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Dec. 2018
JOR
Jordan
1 - 1
China
CHN
28%
28%
45%
81 72 9 0
24 Dec. 2018
IRQ
Iraq
2 - 1
China
CHN
33%
28%
39%
81 76 5 0
20 Nov. 2018
CHN
China
1 - 1
Palestine
PSE
76%
16%
8%
81 60 21 0
16 Oct. 2018
CHN
China
2 - 0
Syria
SYR
53%
24%
23%
81 75 6 0
13 Oct. 2018
CHN
China
0 - 0
India
IND
85%
12%
3%
81 50 31 0

Matches

Kyrgyzstan
Kyrgyzstan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Dec. 2018
KGZ
Kyrgyzstan
2 - 1
Palestine
PSE
25%
25%
50%
53 61 8 0
25 Dec. 2018
QAT
Catar
1 - 0
Kyrgyzstan
KGZ
85%
12%
3%
54 81 27 -1
20 Dec. 2018
JOR
Jordan
0 - 1
Kyrgyzstan
KGZ
69%
21%
10%
52 73 21 +2
20 Nov. 2018
JPN
Japan
4 - 0
Kyrgyzstan
KGZ
85%
11%
3%
53 87 34 -1
16 Oct. 2018
MYS
Malasia
0 - 1
Kyrgyzstan
KGZ
27%
26%
47%
52 45 7 +1
X