Chievo vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
62.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2013 |
BOL
0 - 0
CHI
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
ROM
1 - 0
CHI
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 2
FIO
24%
28%
49%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
GEN
2 - 1
CHI
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
ATL
41%
29%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
FCB
3 - 1
ACM
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ACM
0 - 2
FIO
58%
23%
19%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
ACM
1 - 1
LAZ
60%
22%
18%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 2
ACM
23%
24%
53%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
ACM
1 - 1
FCB
13%
19%
69%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |