Chievo vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
53.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
INT
3 - 1
CHI
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
FIO
1 - 0
CHI
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 4
ATL
45%
28%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
ROM
3 - 1
CHI
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 1
SAM
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 1
JUV
26%
26%
48%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
FIO
1 - 0
CHI
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 3
NAP
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
LAZ
3 - 1
FIO
48%
24%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 0
FIO
33%
25%
43%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |