Chesterfield vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
42%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
YEO
1 - 0
CHE
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
CHE
1 - 1
DON
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
SWA
2 - 0
CHE
66%
22%
12%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
CHE
0 - 1
LEY
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
CHE
1 - 3
BRI
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
BPO
2 - 1
CRE
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
CRE
1 - 0
ROT
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
CRE
0 - 1
BRI
47%
25%
29%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
MIL
2 - 2
CRE
42%
27%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
GIL
1 - 0
CRE
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |