Chemnitzer vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
DRE
1 - 0
CHE
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
CHE
1 - 0
F95
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2001 |
KFC
1 - 0
CHE
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
CHE
1 - 0
LUB
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
OSN
0 - 2
CHE
51%
25%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
KÖL
1 - 2
KFC
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
LUB
2 - 0
KÖL
63%
20%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2001 |
KÖL
0 - 2
MAG
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
OSN
0 - 2
KÖL
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
VER
2 - 0
KÖL
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |