DDR Oberliga Round 8

Chemnitzer vs Union Berlin analysis

Chemnitzer Union Berlin
79 ELO 75
-0.2% Tilt -1.5%
2226º General ELO ranking 70º
94º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
63.1%
Chemnitzer
21.6%
Draw
15.4%
Union Berlin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
Chemnitzer
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.4%
Win probability
Union Berlin
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chemnitzer
+11%
+3%
Union Berlin

ELO progression

Chemnitzer
Union Berlin
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chemnitzer
Chemnitzer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 1979
LOK
Lokomotive Leipzig
3 - 2
Chemnitzer
CHE
68%
19%
14%
80 84 4 0
29 Sep. 1979
CHE
Chemnitzer
2 - 1
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
ERF
56%
23%
21%
79 78 1 +1
15 Sep. 1979
HAL
Hallescher FC
2 - 0
Chemnitzer
CHE
60%
22%
18%
80 82 2 -1
01 Sep. 1979
CHE
Chemnitzer
3 - 2
Zwickau
ZWI
56%
23%
21%
80 76 4 0
29 Aug. 1979
CZJ
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
2 - 1
Chemnitzer
CHE
73%
17%
10%
80 87 7 0

Matches

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 1979
FCU
Union Berlin
0 - 3
Dynamo Dresden
SGD
12%
23%
65%
75 92 17 0
29 Sep. 1979
BWA
BSG Wismut Aue
0 - 0
Union Berlin
FCU
56%
24%
20%
75 76 1 0
15 Sep. 1979
LOK
Lokomotive Leipzig
1 - 0
Union Berlin
FCU
74%
16%
10%
75 84 9 0
01 Sep. 1979
FCU
Union Berlin
2 - 1
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
ERF
41%
28%
31%
75 78 3 0
29 Aug. 1979
HAL
Hallescher FC
1 - 0
Union Berlin
FCU
65%
20%
15%
75 82 7 0