DDR Oberliga Round 12

Chemnitzer vs Union Berlin analysis

Chemnitzer Union Berlin
80 ELO 76
2% Tilt -3.6%
2229º General ELO ranking 70º
93º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
61.1%
Chemnitzer
21.6%
Draw
17.4%
Union Berlin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
Chemnitzer
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.4%
Win probability
Union Berlin
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chemnitzer
+12%
-3%
Union Berlin

ELO progression

Chemnitzer
Union Berlin
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chemnitzer
Chemnitzer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 1977
LOK
Lokomotive Leipzig
2 - 0
Chemnitzer
CHE
67%
19%
14%
80 85 5 0
19 Nov. 1977
CHE
Chemnitzer
1 - 1
Hallescher FC
HAL
53%
23%
24%
80 81 1 0
05 Nov. 1977
ZWI
Zwickau
0 - 0
Chemnitzer
CHE
51%
25%
24%
80 79 1 0
15 Oct. 1977
CHE
Chemnitzer
4 - 0
BSG Wismut Aue
BWA
57%
23%
21%
80 78 2 0
04 Oct. 1977
SGD
Dynamo Dresden
4 - 2
Chemnitzer
CHE
84%
11%
5%
80 90 10 0

Matches

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 1977
FCU
Union Berlin
0 - 1
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
ERF
44%
28%
28%
76 79 3 0
19 Nov. 1977
FVF
FC Vorwärts Frankfurt
1 - 1
Union Berlin
FCU
56%
24%
20%
76 79 3 0
06 Nov. 1977
LOK
Lokomotive Leipzig
0 - 1
Union Berlin
FCU
74%
16%
10%
76 85 9 0
15 Oct. 1977
FCU
Union Berlin
1 - 1
Hallescher FC
HAL
38%
28%
35%
76 80 4 0
04 Oct. 1977
ZWI
Zwickau
1 - 1
Union Berlin
FCU
60%
22%
18%
76 80 4 0