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Poland Third Division. Matchday 15

Chemik Police vs Nielba Wagrowiec analysis

Chemik Police Nielba Wagrowiec
18 ELO 20
8% Tilt 131%
13307º General ELO ranking 12204º
193º Country ELO ranking 157º
ELO win probability
24.4%
Chemik Police
19.7%
Draw
56%
Nielba Wagrowiec

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
Chemik Police
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
56%
Win probability
Nielba Wagrowiec
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chemik Police
-14%
+51%
Nielba Wagrowiec

Points and table prediction

Chemik Police
Their league position
Nielba Wagrowiec
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
16º
55
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Flota Swinoujscie
68
68
100%
Unia Janikowo
60
60
100%
Nielba Wagrowiec
55
55
100%
Jarota Jarocin
53
53
50%
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
53
53
50%
Victoria Koronowo
47
47
100%
TKP Elana Torun
46
46
100%
Chemik Police
34
34
50%
Kaszubia Kościerzyna
34
34
50%
Wierzyca Pelplin
10º
32
32
10º
50%
Rodlo Kwidzyn
11º
32
32
11º
50%
Mieszko Gniezno
12º
31
31
12º
100%
Kujawiak Włocławek
13º
28
28
13º
100%
Rega Trzebiatów
14º
27
27
14º
100%
Zdrój Ciechocinek
15º
26
26
15º
100%
Cartusia Kartuzy
16º
22
22
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Chemik Police
Nielba Wagrowiec
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Nielba Wagrowiec
NIE
Chemik Police
CHP
TKP Elana Torun
TKP
Rodlo Kwidzyn
ROD
Flota Swinoujscie
FLO
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
KOT
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chemik Police
Chemik Police
1%
X%
2%
ELO CHP ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2007
KOT
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
3 - 1
Chemik Police
CHP
45%
27%
28%
247 257 10 -2
20 Oct. 2007
CHP
Chemik Police
0 - 1
TKP Elana Torun
TKP
46%
27%
27%
248 257 -9 -1
13 Oct. 2007
UNI
Unia Janikowo
0 - 0
Chemik Police
CHP
47%
27%
26%
248 345 97 0
07 Oct. 2007
TRT
Rega Trzebiatów
1 - 1
Chemik Police
CHP
46%
27%
27%
248 241 -7 0
29 Sep. 2007
CHP
Chemik Police
4 - 0
Zdrój Ciechocinek
CZC
45%
27%
28%
246 244 2 +2

Matches

Nielba Wagrowiec
Nielba Wagrowiec
1%
X%
2%
ELO NIE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2007
NIE
Nielba Wagrowiec
2 - 1
Rega Trzebiatów
TRT
47%
27%
26%
262 238 24 +1
20 Oct. 2007
CZC
Zdrój Ciechocinek
0 - 4
Nielba Wagrowiec
NIE
46%
27%
27%
260 238 -22 +2
13 Oct. 2007
NIE
Nielba Wagrowiec
1 - 0
Jarota Jarocin
JAR
45%
27%
28%
258 259 -1 +1
06 Oct. 2007
KAS
Kaszubia Kościerzyna
1 - 1
Nielba Wagrowiec
NIE
46%
27%
27%
258 245 -13 0
29 Sep. 2007
NIE
Nielba Wagrowiec
0 - 0
Mieszko Gniezno
MGZ
47%
27%
26%
258 225 33 0