Chelsea vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
CHL
6 - 0
QAR
91%
8%
2%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
LEI
1 - 2
CHL
17%
22%
61%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CHL
2 - 0
EVE
74%
16%
10%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
TOT
1 - 2
CHL
33%
25%
42%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
CHL
2 - 3
BUR
89%
9%
3%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
ARS
3 - 1
KOL
68%
19%
13%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ARS
3 - 0
BOU
80%
14%
7%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
LIV
4 - 0
ARS
35%
24%
42%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
STO
1 - 0
ARS
16%
20%
64%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
ARS
4 - 3
LEI
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |