FA Cup . 1/64
Global 1-2
Chelmsford City vs Macclesfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CHM
2 - 0
WOK
39%
24%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
WOK
1 - 1
CHM
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CHM
6 - 1
BRO
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
CHM
4 - 0
AFC
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2011 |
CHM
0 - 0
DOR
69%
19%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Macclesfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 1
MAC
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 1
STA
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
EAS
0 - 3
MAC
27%
23%
50%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 0
MAC
48%
24%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 2
SOU
30%
27%
44%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |