Chaves vs Esposende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
ACA
1 - 0
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
CHA
5 - 1
IMO
73%
17%
11%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
VAR
0 - 0
CHA
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
CHA
2 - 2
PEN
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
BMA
0 - 0
CHA
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Esposende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
ESP
1 - 4
PAÇ
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
ESP
1 - 2
LEC
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
ACA
3 - 1
ESP
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
ESP
2 - 4
IMO
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
VAR
5 - 0
ESP
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |