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Bulgaria Third Division. Sur-Oeste, Matchday 15

Chavdar Etropole vs Kyustendil analysis

Chavdar Etropole Kyustendil
28 ELO 22
59% Tilt 34%
7974º General ELO ranking 28447º
42º Country ELO ranking 243º
ELO win probability
58.7%
Chavdar Etropole
19.9%
Draw
21.4%
Kyustendil

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
Chavdar Etropole
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
21.4%
Win probability
Kyustendil
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chavdar Etropole
+60%
+53%
Kyustendil

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Marek
82
82
50%
Kyustendil
82
82
50%
Belasitsa
78
78
100%
Vihren
75
75
100%
Oborishte
60
60
100%
Balkan Botevgrad
58
58
100%
Chavdar Etropole
51
51
100%
Botev Ihtiman
46
46
100%
Pirin Gotse Delchev
45
45
100%
Pirin Razlog
10º
41
41
10º
100%
Slivnishki Geroy
11º
36
36
12º
50%
Nadezhda Dobroslavtsi
12º
36
36
11º
50%
Rilski Sportist
13º
34
34
13º
33%
Bansko
14º
34
34
14º
33%
Levski Chepintsi
15º
34
34
15º
33%
Granit Vladaya
16º
32
32
16º
100%
Perun
17º
22
22
17º
100%
Velbazhd Kyustendil
18º
16
16
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Chavdar Etropole
Kyustendil
Champion
0% 50%
Mid-table
100% 50%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Chavdar Etropole
CHA
Kyustendil
FKK
Pirin Gotse Delchev
PIR
Oborishte
OBO
Belasitsa
BEL
Bansko
BAN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chavdar Etropole
Chavdar Etropole
1%
X%
2%
ELO CHA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 2020
LCH
Levski Chepintsi
0 - 2
Chavdar Etropole
CHA
45%
27%
29%
363 252 -111 +2
31 Oct. 2020
CHA
Chavdar Etropole
4 - 1
Granit Vladaya
GRV
49%
26%
25%
361 255 106 +2
24 Oct. 2020
BAN
Bansko
0 - 5
Chavdar Etropole
CHA
46%
27%
27%
359 339 -20 +3
17 Oct. 2020
CHA
Chavdar Etropole
2 - 1
Pirin Gotse Delchev
PIR
46%
27%
26%
358 291 67 +1
10 Oct. 2020
MAR
Marek
2 - 0
Chavdar Etropole
CHA
45%
27%
28%
359 357 -2 -2

Matches

Kyustendil
Kyustendil
1%
X%
2%
ELO FKK ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 2020
FKK
Kyustendil
1 - 0
Rilski Sportist
RIL
46%
27%
26%
288 229 59 +1
31 Oct. 2020
PEK
Perun
0 - 1
Kyustendil
FKK
41%
28%
31%
286 227 -59 +1
24 Oct. 2020
FKK
Kyustendil
3 - 0
Velbazhd Kyustendil
VEL
47%
27%
26%
284 243 41 +2
17 Oct. 2020
NAD
Nadezhda Dobroslavtsi
0 - 2
Kyustendil
FKK
46%
27%
28%
282 246 -36 +2
10 Oct. 2020
FKK
Kyustendil
1 - 0
Vihren
VIH
45%
27%
29%
281 394 -113 +1