Chapulineros de Oaxaca vs Zitacuaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapulineros de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 0
CHA
42%
27%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CUA
3 - 1
CHA
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 1
CAF
38%
28%
35%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
AGU
3 - 1
CHA
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 0
RCT
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Zitacuaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
ZIT
1 - 0
CUA
27%
27%
46%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CAF
3 - 3
ZIT
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ZIT
1 - 0
AGU
19%
25%
56%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
RCT
3 - 2
ZIT
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
ZIT
1 - 0
SFR
21%
26%
54%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +3 |