CBF Brasileiro U20 . Jor. 5

Chapecoense Sub 20 vs Bahia Sub 20 analysis

Chapecoense Sub 20 Bahia Sub 20
32 ELO 33
2.6% Tilt -7.3%
7876º General ELO ranking 7745º
308º Country ELO ranking 304º
ELO win probability
44.7%
Chapecoense Sub 20
22.2%
Draw
33.1%
Bahia Sub 20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
Chapecoense Sub 20
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
33.1%
Win probability
Bahia Sub 20
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chapecoense Sub 20
-20%
+35%
Bahia Sub 20

ELO progression

Chapecoense Sub 20
Bahia Sub 20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chapecoense Sub 20
Chapecoense Sub 20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jul. 2021
SAN
Santos Sub 20
1 - 1
Chapecoense Sub 20
CHA
60%
19%
20%
31 34 3 0
04 Jul. 2021
CHA
Chapecoense Sub 20
1 - 3
Botafogo Sub 20
BOT
25%
24%
51%
32 43 11 -1
30 Jun. 2021
CHA
Chapecoense Sub 20
1 - 1
Cruzeiro Sub 20
CRU
36%
22%
42%
32 37 5 0
26 Jun. 2021
VAS
Vasco Da Gama U20s
2 - 0
Chapecoense Sub 20
CHA
69%
19%
12%
33 42 9 -1
20 Dec. 2020
CHA
Chapecoense Sub 20
0 - 3
América Mineiro Sub 20
AME
48%
21%
31%
34 35 1 -1

Matches

Bahia Sub 20
Bahia Sub 20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jul. 2021
BAH
Bahia Sub 20
0 - 2
Botafogo Sub 20
BOT
27%
25%
48%
35 44 9 0
04 Jul. 2021
BAH
Bahia Sub 20
2 - 2
Athlético PR Sub 20
ATL
19%
22%
58%
35 46 11 0
01 Jul. 2021
PAL
Palmeiras Sub 20
1 - 0
Bahia Sub 20
BAH
60%
21%
18%
35 39 4 0
26 Jun. 2021
BAH
Bahia Sub 20
2 - 2
Fluminense Sub 20
FLU
24%
24%
52%
35 44 9 0
20 Dec. 2020
BAH
Bahia Sub 20
1 - 1
Internacional Sub 20
INT
41%
23%
37%
35 37 2 0
X