Change vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
52.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
9º
14º
14º
37
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Change
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 2
LEM
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
1 - 0
CHA
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
ACP
34%
23%
44%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
USS
7 - 0
CHA
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
SAU
20%
22%
57%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FON
1 - 0
SCB
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LEM
0 - 3
FON
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FON
0 - 0
CHA
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ASC
0 - 1
FON
25%
22%
53%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
FON
1 - 2
LPS
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |