CF Villanovense vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
39.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CDB
2 - 1
VIL
36%
29%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 3
REC
48%
28%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
VIL
23%
27%
51%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 0
SEV
33%
29%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
MEL
0 - 0
VIL
57%
25%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2019 |
MUR
2 - 3
NEX
11%
17%
72%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
MUR
1 - 0
SAN
66%
22%
12%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 0
SEV
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 2
MUR
46%
29%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MUR
2 - 0
MAL
75%
17%
8%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |