Villafames vs Peñiscola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+188%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafames
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
OND
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
CDB
3 - 2
VIL
34%
23%
44%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
ORP
1 - 3
VIL
57%
22%
22%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 0
MOR
61%
19%
20%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
POB
0 - 4
VIL
50%
22%
28%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Peñiscola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ORP
1 - 3
PEN
74%
16%
10%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 0
MOR
32%
25%
44%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
POB
3 - 3
PEN
58%
20%
22%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 3
TRA
38%
23%
39%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
BNC
2 - 1
PEN
72%
15%
13%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |