Cerro Porteño vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
CCP
20%
25%
55%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 1
CCP
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
CCP
3 - 2
AME
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
CCP
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CCP
4 - 1
LQE
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
AME
3 - 2
SAN
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
GUA
6 - 2
AME
56%
23%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
CCP
3 - 2
AME
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
AME
1 - 1
DEP
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 1
AME
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |