Cerro Largo vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
RAC
1 - 0
CEL
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CEL
2 - 0
FEN
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
MWA
0 - 0
CEL
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
CEL
2 - 2
NAC
31%
28%
42%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
LFC
3 - 2
CEL
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
PRO
3 - 0
FEN
41%
27%
33%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
NAC
4 - 0
PRO
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
PRO
4 - 0
RIV
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CER
0 - 2
PRO
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
PRO
0 - 1
PLA
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |