Cerro Largo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
50.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
CSC
0 - 2
CEL
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 0
CEL
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
CEL
1 - 0
PLA
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
DAN
1 - 1
CEL
43%
29%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
CEL
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 1
PLA
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
CAU
1 - 2
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
CAU
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
DAN
0 - 1
NAC
22%
28%
50%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
RIV
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |