Cerezo Osaka vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
19.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
AVI
2 - 1
CER
22%
26%
52%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
CER
0 - 0
VEG
65%
22%
13%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
CER
3 - 2
ALB
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
SAG
3 - 3
CER
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
CER
3 - 3
FCT
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
URA
2 - 1
SAG
49%
27%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
SAG
1 - 0
FCT
38%
28%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
SAG
3 - 3
CER
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SAG
3 - 1
NAG
32%
28%
41%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
SAG
1 - 0
AVI
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |