Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
CER
15%
23%
62%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
FCT
1 - 4
CER
23%
25%
52%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
URA
2 - 2
CER
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
CER
0 - 0
URA
49%
24%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CER
0 - 1
KAA
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ZWE
3 - 1
NAG
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
NAG
0 - 1
OIT
31%
25%
43%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MIT
1 - 1
NAG
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
NAG
2 - 3
YOK
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
NAG
3 - 1
AVI
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |