Cerea vs Sacilese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
NKK
1 - 1
CER
25%
24%
52%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
CER
56%
23%
22%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CER
1 - 3
CLO
45%
24%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CER
1 - 2
VIR
25%
23%
52%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ACE
2 - 2
CER
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sacilese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SAC
4 - 1
BEL
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
TAM
2 - 0
SAC
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
SAC
2 - 1
UNI
73%
18%
9%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ACS
1 - 0
SAC
46%
26%
29%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
SAC
1 - 0
GIO
63%
21%
16%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |