Cerea vs Delta Porto Tolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
50.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
GIO
1 - 0
CER
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CER
0 - 5
TAM
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
CER
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
CER
0 - 2
ACS
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ACD
3 - 2
CER
43%
24%
34%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Delta Porto Tolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
DEL
3 - 2
SAC
64%
20%
15%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 2
DEL
16%
21%
63%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
DEL
2 - 0
NKK
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
TAM
1 - 1
DEL
25%
23%
52%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
DEL
3 - 0
CLO
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |