Celta vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
MLL
2 - 2
CEL
45%
27%
29%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 0
FEN
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 1
ZAR
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2006 |
NEW
2 - 1
CEL
50%
27%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
DEP
0 - 1
CEL
50%
26%
24%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
VIL
2 - 0
GIM
71%
19%
10%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
FCB
4 - 0
VIL
74%
17%
10%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
VIL
1 - 0
GET
56%
25%
20%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
ATM
3 - 1
VIL
39%
29%
32%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
VIL
2 - 0
CAS
77%
17%
6%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |