Celta vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1975 |
UDL
3 - 1
CEL
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
CEL
0 - 0
ATM
38%
29%
33%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
SLA
0 - 0
CEL
51%
27%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
CEL
0 - 1
HER
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1975 |
VCF
2 - 0
CEL
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1975 |
MAL
1 - 0
ZAR
42%
29%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
ZAR
2 - 1
FCB
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
ATH
4 - 0
ZAR
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
RSO
1 - 0
ZAR
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1975 |
ZAR
6 - 1
RMA
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |