Celta vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
RMA
1 - 0
CEL
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
CEL
1 - 1
VAD
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
BET
0 - 0
CEL
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2000 |
LEN
2 - 1
CEL
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
CEL
1 - 1
ALA
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
NUM
1 - 2
RSO
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
RAY
0 - 0
NUM
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
NUM
3 - 0
ATM
30%
25%
46%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
SEV
4 - 0
NUM
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
NUM
1 - 1
OVI
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |