LaLiga Round 26

Celta vs Málaga analysis

Celta Málaga
89 ELO 85
6.1% Tilt -7.5%
59º General ELO ranking 652º
13º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
64.7%
Celta
19.7%
Draw
15.6%
Málaga

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
Celta
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.6%
Win probability
Málaga
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Celta
Málaga
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celta
Celta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2002
VCF
Valencia
0 - 0
Celta
CEL
55%
24%
21%
89 91 2 0
05 Feb. 2002
CEL
Celta
0 - 2
RC Deportivo
DEP
52%
23%
25%
89 90 1 0
02 Feb. 2002
MLL
Mallorca
0 - 1
Celta
CEL
44%
26%
30%
89 87 2 0
26 Jan. 2002
CEL
Celta
3 - 1
Real Sociedad
RSO
66%
19%
14%
89 85 4 0
20 Jan. 2002
CDT
Tenerife
1 - 1
Celta
CEL
30%
27%
43%
89 80 9 0

Matches

Málaga
Málaga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2002
MAL
Málaga
1 - 0
Deportivo Alavés
ALA
49%
25%
26%
85 87 2 0
06 Feb. 2002
ATH
Athletic
3 - 2
Málaga
MAL
56%
23%
21%
85 87 2 0
03 Feb. 2002
MAL
Málaga
1 - 1
UD Las Palmas
UDL
60%
22%
18%
85 83 2 0
27 Jan. 2002
VAD
Real Valladolid
0 - 0
Málaga
MAL
47%
26%
27%
85 86 1 0
19 Jan. 2002
MAL
Málaga
1 - 1
Real Madrid
RMA
26%
25%
50%
85 92 7 0